HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
67.9%
朝乃山 (R=1753)
vs
32.1%
一山本 (R=1621)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (4 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (朝乃山) | 74.7% |
| Actual win rate | 75.0% |
| Delta | 0.3pt |
Positive = 朝乃山 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 朝乃山 | 一山本 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1903 (2020-07) | 1710 (2025-11) |
| Career bouts | 817 | 698 |
| Wins | 435 | 356 |
| Losses | 213 | 310 |
| Win rate | 66.7% | 53.3% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #1 | Maegashira #12 |
| Active period | 2016-03 〜 2026-09 | 2017-01 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (4)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 朝乃山 | vs | 一山本 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-05 | 7 | 86% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-01 | 1 | 76% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-07 | 4 | 81% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-09 | 1 | 55% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.