HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
55.5%
朝乃山 (R=1721)
vs
44.5%
一山本 (R=1682)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (3 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (朝乃山) | 81.2% |
| Actual win rate | 66.7% |
| Delta | -14.5pt |
Positive = 朝乃山 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 朝乃山 | 一山本 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1903 (2020-07) | 1710 (2025-11) |
| Career bouts | 802 | 683 |
| Wins | 425 | 352 |
| Losses | 208 | 299 |
| Win rate | 66.7% | 53.9% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #6 | Maegashira #6 |
| Active period | 2016-03 〜 2026-07 | 2017-01 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (3)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 朝乃山 | vs | 一山本 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-05 | 7 | 86% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-01 | 1 | 76% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-07 | 4 | 81% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.