HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
32.0%
朝乃山 (R=1753)
vs
68.0%
豊昇龍 (R=1887)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (6 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (朝乃山) | 51.7% |
| Actual win rate | 0.0% |
| Delta | -51.7pt |
Positive = 朝乃山 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 朝乃山 | 豊昇龍 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1903 (2020-07) | 1978 (2025-11) |
| Career bouts | 824 | 696 |
| Wins | 438 | 404 |
| Losses | 217 | 230 |
| Win rate | 66.5% | 63.1% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #1 | Yokozuna |
| Active period | 2016-03 〜 2026-09 | 2018-01 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (6)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 朝乃山 | vs | 豊昇龍 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-05 | 8 | 82% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2023-07 | 7 | 53% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2023-09 | 6 | 47% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2023-11 | 11 | 51% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-03 | 5 | 46% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-11 | 2 | 32% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.