HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
68.4%
朝乃山 (R=1521)
vs
31.6%
狼雅 (R=1386)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (4 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (朝乃山) | 75.2% |
| Actual win rate | 75.0% |
| Delta | -0.2pt |
Positive = 朝乃山 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 朝乃山 | 狼雅 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1591 (2023-05) | 1478 (2019-03) |
| Career bouts | 799 | 496 |
| Wins | 424 | 268 |
| Losses | 205 | 214 |
| Win rate | 67.0% | 55.5% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #10 | Maegashira #8 |
| Active period | 2016-03 〜 2026-07 | 2019-01 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (4)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 朝乃山 | vs | 狼雅 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-01 | 6 | 79% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-03 | 9 | 80% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-03 | 7 | 72% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-07 | 4 | 69% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.