HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
62.0%
朝乃山 (R=1753)
vs
38.0%
狼雅 (R=1667)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (5 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (朝乃山) | 70.8% |
| Actual win rate | 60.0% |
| Delta | -10.8pt |
Positive = 朝乃山 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 朝乃山 | 狼雅 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1903 (2020-07) | 1672 (2026-07) |
| Career bouts | 817 | 514 |
| Wins | 435 | 278 |
| Losses | 213 | 223 |
| Win rate | 66.7% | 55.4% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #1 | Maegashira #8 |
| Active period | 2016-03 〜 2026-09 | 2019-01 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (5)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 朝乃山 | vs | 狼雅 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-01 | 6 | 84% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-03 | 9 | 84% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-03 | 7 | 67% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-07 | 4 | 62% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-09 | 3 | 57% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.