HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
59.1%
朝乃山 (R=1753)
vs
40.9%
藤青雲 (R=1688)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (6 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (朝乃山) | 66.8% |
| Actual win rate | 66.7% |
| Delta | -0.2pt |
Positive = 朝乃山 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 朝乃山 | 藤青雲 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1903 (2020-07) | 1688 (2026-09) |
| Career bouts | 817 | 359 |
| Wins | 435 | 201 |
| Losses | 213 | 128 |
| Win rate | 66.7% | 61.2% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #6 | Maegashira #7 |
| Active period | 2016-03 〜 2026-09 | 2021-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (6)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 朝乃山 | vs | 藤青雲 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09 | 14 | 83% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-11 | 8 | 77% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-03 | 1 | 69% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-05 | 10 | 58% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 10 | 57% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-09 | 7 | 58% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.