HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
65.9%
朝乃山 (R=1521)
vs
34.1%
藤青雲 (R=1407)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (5 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (朝乃山) | 72.2% |
| Actual win rate | 80.0% |
| Delta | 7.8pt |
Positive = 朝乃山 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 朝乃山 | 藤青雲 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1591 (2023-05) | 1629 (2021-09) |
| Career bouts | 799 | 341 |
| Wins | 424 | 191 |
| Losses | 205 | 119 |
| Win rate | 67.0% | 61.7% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #10 | Maegashira #6 |
| Active period | 2016-03 〜 2026-07 | 2021-05 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (5)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 朝乃山 | vs | 藤青雲 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09 | 14 | 77% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-11 | 8 | 76% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-03 | 1 | 73% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-05 | 10 | 68% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 10 | 67% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.