HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
66.3%
朝乃山 (R=1523)
vs
33.7%
欧勝馬 (R=1405)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (3 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (朝乃山) | 69.9% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 30.1pt |
Positive = 朝乃山 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 朝乃山 | 欧勝馬 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1591 (2023-05) | 1421 (2025-05) |
| Career bouts | 802 | 403 |
| Wins | 425 | 206 |
| Losses | 208 | 189 |
| Win rate | 66.7% | 52.3% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #10 | Maegashira #5 |
| Active period | 2016-03 〜 2026-07 | 2021-11 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (3)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 朝乃山 | vs | 欧勝馬 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-03 | 8 | 74% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-05 | 8 | 69% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 13 | 67% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.