HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
60.9%
朝乃山 (R=1753)
vs
39.1%
金峰山 (R=1675)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (6 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (朝乃山) | 69.6% |
| Actual win rate | 83.3% |
| Delta | 13.8pt |
Positive = 朝乃山 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 朝乃山 | 金峰山 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1903 (2020-07) | 1720 (2025-05) |
| Career bouts | 817 | 410 |
| Wins | 435 | 221 |
| Losses | 213 | 185 |
| Win rate | 66.7% | 54.4% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #6 | Maegashira #10 |
| Active period | 2016-03 〜 2026-09 | 2021-11 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (6)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 朝乃山 | vs | 金峰山 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-01 | 13 | 79% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-01 | 2 | 74% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-01 | 10 | 69% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-03 | 13 | 72% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-05 | 5 | 63% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-09 | 11 | 61% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.