HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
71.6%
朝乃山 (R=1753)
vs
28.4%
大青山 (R=1590)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (3 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (朝乃山) | 79.2% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 20.8pt |
Positive = 朝乃山 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 朝乃山 | 大青山 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1903 (2020-07) | 1600 (2026-05) |
| Career bouts | 817 | 300 |
| Wins | 435 | 167 |
| Losses | 213 | 117 |
| Win rate | 66.7% | 59.1% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #1 | Maegashira #17 |
| Active period | 2016-03 〜 2026-09 | 2022-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (3)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 朝乃山 | vs | 大青山 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-07 | 13 | 91% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-11 | 10 | 80% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 9 | 66% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.