HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
71.1%
朝乃山 (R=1521)
vs
28.9%
大青山 (R=1364)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (3 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (朝乃山) | 72.4% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 27.6pt |
Positive = 朝乃山 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 朝乃山 | 大青山 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1591 (2023-05) | 1430 (2022-07) |
| Career bouts | 799 | 282 |
| Wins | 424 | 158 |
| Losses | 205 | 107 |
| Win rate | 67.0% | 59.9% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #10 | Maegashira #16 |
| Active period | 2016-03 〜 2026-07 | 2022-03 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (3)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 朝乃山 | vs | 大青山 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-07 | 13 | 67% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-11 | 10 | 78% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 9 | 72% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.