HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
55.2%
朝乃山 (R=1753)
vs
44.8%
尊富士 (R=1716)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (4 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (朝乃山) | 60.4% |
| Actual win rate | 75.0% |
| Delta | 14.6pt |
Positive = 朝乃山 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 朝乃山 | 尊富士 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1903 (2020-07) | 1807 (2025-01) |
| Career bouts | 817 | 304 |
| Wins | 435 | 177 |
| Losses | 213 | 80 |
| Win rate | 66.7% | 68.5% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #1 | Maegashira #4 |
| Active period | 2016-03 〜 2026-09 | 2022-11 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (4)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 朝乃山 | vs | 尊富士 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03 | 14 | 71% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-11 | 6 | 60% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 11 | 59% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-09 | 5 | 52% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.