HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
37.3%
朝乃山 (R=1753)
vs
62.7%
藤ノ川 (R=1845)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (朝乃山) | 54.3% |
| Actual win rate | 50.0% |
| Delta | -4.3pt |
Positive = 朝乃山 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 朝乃山 | 藤ノ川 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1903 (2020-07) | 1845 (2026-09) |
| Career bouts | 817 | 250 |
| Wins | 435 | 151 |
| Losses | 213 | 92 |
| Win rate | 66.7% | 62.3% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #6 | Sekiwake |
| Active period | 2016-03 〜 2026-09 | 2023-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 朝乃山 | vs | 藤ノ川 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01 | 12 | 67% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-09 | 14 | 42% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.