HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
64.2%
朝乃山 (R=1521)
vs
35.8%
阿武剋 (R=1419)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (朝乃山) | 63.8% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 36.2pt |
Positive = 朝乃山 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 朝乃山 | 阿武剋 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1591 (2023-05) | 1553 (2024-05) |
| Career bouts | 799 | 228 |
| Wins | 424 | 117 |
| Losses | 205 | 97 |
| Win rate | 67.0% | 54.8% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #10 | Maegashira #15 |
| Active period | 2016-03 〜 2026-07 | 2023-11 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 朝乃山 | vs | 阿武剋 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07 | 8 | 64% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.