HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
47.6%
朝心誠 (R=1104)
vs
52.4%
鷹翔 (R=1121)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (3 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (朝心誠) | 49.0% |
| Actual win rate | 33.3% |
| Delta | -15.7pt |
Positive = 朝心誠 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 朝心誠 | 鷹翔 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1200 (2016-03) | 1211 (2025-11) |
| Career bouts | 423 | 627 |
| Wins | 207 | 305 |
| Losses | 203 | 322 |
| Win rate | 50.2% | 48.6% |
| Current rank | Sandanme #18 | Sandanme #12 |
| Active period | 2016-03 〜 2026-09 | 2011-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (3)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 朝心誠 | vs | 鷹翔 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-03 | 9 | 39% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2023-05 | 14 | 49% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-03 | 4 | 59% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.