HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
54.8%
北勝泉 (R=678)
vs
45.2%
肥州山 (R=644)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (6 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (北勝泉) | 61.5% |
| Actual win rate | 66.7% |
| Delta | 5.2pt |
Positive = 北勝泉 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 北勝泉 | 肥州山 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1347 (2016-03) | 1144 (2020-07) |
| Career bouts | 422 | 252 |
| Wins | 179 | 100 |
| Losses | 217 | 137 |
| Win rate | 45.1% | 42.7% |
| Current rank | Jonidan #88 | Jonidan #94 |
| Active period | 2016-03 〜 2026-09 | 2020-07 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (6)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 北勝泉 | vs | 肥州山 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11 | 9 | 68% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-05 | 9 | 64% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-07 | 1 | 62% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-09 | 6 | 59% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-11 | 10 | 58% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-01 | 3 | 57% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.