HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
39.3%
平戸海 (R=1711)
vs
60.7%
大栄翔 (R=1788)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (12 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (平戸海) | 39.1% |
| Actual win rate | 33.3% |
| Delta | -5.8pt |
Positive = 平戸海 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 平戸海 | 大栄翔 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1808 (2024-07) | 1866 (2025-05) |
| Career bouts | 663 | 1,182 |
| Wins | 347 | 632 |
| Losses | 307 | 520 |
| Win rate | 53.0% | 55.3% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #8 | Komusubi |
| Active period | 2016-03 〜 2026-07 | 2012-01 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (12)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 平戸海 | vs | 大栄翔 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-01 | 13 | 30% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2023-07 | 10 | 24% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-03 | 15 | 25% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-05 | 7 | 38% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-07 | 5 | 38% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-09 | 6 | 48% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-11 | 7 | 47% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-01 | 14 | 39% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-05 | 6 | 36% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-03 | 2 | 46% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-05 | 13 | 49% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 3 | 50% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.