HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
37.3%
平戸海 (R=1438)
vs
62.7%
琴櫻 (R=1529)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (13 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (平戸海) | 32.9% |
| Actual win rate | 23.1% |
| Delta | -9.8pt |
Positive = 平戸海 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 平戸海 | 琴櫻 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1444 (2026-05) | 1575 (2024-11) |
| Career bouts | 659 | 777 |
| Wins | 344 | 449 |
| Losses | 305 | 302 |
| Win rate | 52.9% | 59.5% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #3 | Ozeki |
| Active period | 2016-03 〜 2026-07 | 2015-11 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (13)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 平戸海 | vs | 琴櫻 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-05 | 3 | 28% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-07 | 9 | 29% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-09 | 1 | 32% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-11 | 2 | 33% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-01 | 10 | 28% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-03 | 14 | 31% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-05 | 5 | 33% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-07 | 14 | 34% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-09 | 6 | 35% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-11 | 8 | 36% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-03 | 8 | 35% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-05 | 6 | 35% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 8 | 38% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.