HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
36.8%
平戸海 (R=1716)
vs
63.2%
琴櫻 (R=1812)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (13 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (平戸海) | 34.7% |
| Actual win rate | 23.1% |
| Delta | -11.6pt |
Positive = 平戸海 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 平戸海 | 琴櫻 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1808 (2024-07) | 1951 (2024-11) |
| Career bouts | 677 | 795 |
| Wins | 356 | 460 |
| Losses | 312 | 310 |
| Win rate | 53.2% | 59.5% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #5 | Ozeki |
| Active period | 2016-03 〜 2026-09 | 2015-11 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (13)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 平戸海 | vs | 琴櫻 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-05 | 3 | 23% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-07 | 9 | 28% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-09 | 1 | 35% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-11 | 2 | 38% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-01 | 10 | 22% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-03 | 14 | 33% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-05 | 5 | 37% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-07 | 14 | 37% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-09 | 6 | 40% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-11 | 8 | 40% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-03 | 8 | 37% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-05 | 6 | 35% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 8 | 47% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.