HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
48.7%
平戸海 (R=1432)
vs
51.3%
王鵬 (R=1442)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (17 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (平戸海) | 45.8% |
| Actual win rate | 64.7% |
| Delta | 18.9pt |
Positive = 平戸海 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 平戸海 | 王鵬 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1444 (2026-05) | 1470 (2025-11) |
| Career bouts | 662 | 617 |
| Wins | 347 | 326 |
| Losses | 306 | 286 |
| Win rate | 53.1% | 53.5% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #3 | Komusubi |
| Active period | 2016-03 〜 2026-07 | 2018-01 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (17)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 平戸海 | vs | 王鵬 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-11 | 14 | 33% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2022-09 | 11 | 39% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-01 | 6 | 41% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-03 | 15 | 45% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-07 | 7 | 46% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-09 | 5 | 46% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2023-11 | 1 | 47% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-01 | 13 | 48% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-03 | 12 | 47% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-05 | 5 | 49% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-09 | 4 | 53% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-11 | 9 | 52% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-05 | 12 | 48% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-11 | 3 | 46% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-01 | 13 | 44% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-03 | 1 | 48% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 13 | 47% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.