HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
25.1%
平戸海 (R=1438)
vs
74.9%
大の里 (R=1629)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (9 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (平戸海) | 25.4% |
| Actual win rate | 22.2% |
| Delta | -3.2pt |
Positive = 平戸海 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 平戸海 | 大の里 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1444 (2026-05) | 1659 (2025-11) |
| Career bouts | 659 | 281 |
| Wins | 344 | 182 |
| Losses | 305 | 66 |
| Win rate | 52.9% | 73.2% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #3 | Yokozuna |
| Active period | 2016-03 〜 2026-07 | 2023-05 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (9)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 平戸海 | vs | 大の里 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03 | 3 | 27% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-05 | 9 | 26% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-07 | 4 | 25% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-09 | 7 | 29% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-11 | 1 | 26% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-05 | 8 | 25% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-09 | 8 | 23% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-11 | 6 | 23% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-07 | 6 | 25% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.