HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
21.8%
平戸海 (R=1716)
vs
78.2%
大の里 (R=1943)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (9 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (平戸海) | 30.5% |
| Actual win rate | 22.2% |
| Delta | -8.2pt |
Positive = 平戸海 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 平戸海 | 大の里 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1808 (2024-07) | 2017 (2025-09) |
| Career bouts | 677 | 299 |
| Wins | 356 | 197 |
| Losses | 312 | 70 |
| Win rate | 53.2% | 73.6% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #5 | Yokozuna |
| Active period | 2016-03 〜 2026-09 | 2023-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (9)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 平戸海 | vs | 大の里 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03 | 3 | 37% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-05 | 9 | 36% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-07 | 4 | 34% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-09 | 7 | 43% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-11 | 1 | 32% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-05 | 8 | 25% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-09 | 8 | 21% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-11 | 6 | 20% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-07 | 6 | 27% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.