HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
43.0%
美ノ海 (R=1411)
vs
57.0%
王鵬 (R=1461)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (8 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (美ノ海) | 49.1% |
| Actual win rate | 37.5% |
| Delta | -11.6pt |
Positive = 美ノ海 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 美ノ海 | 王鵬 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1577 (2016-09) | 1470 (2025-11) |
| Career bouts | 746 | 614 |
| Wins | 378 | 325 |
| Losses | 362 | 283 |
| Win rate | 51.2% | 53.7% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #2 | Komusubi |
| Active period | 2016-03 〜 2026-07 | 2018-01 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (9)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 美ノ海 | vs | 王鵬 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-03 | 13 | 63% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2019-07 | 9 | 52% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2021-01 | 11 | 50% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2021-05 | 8 | 51% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2021-11 | 7 | 47% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2023-11 | 14 | 43% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-07 | 11 | 43% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-11 | 12 | 44% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-07 | 12 | 42% | — | vs | — |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.