HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
40.6%
美ノ海 (R=1791)
vs
59.4%
熱海富士 (R=1859)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (16 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (美ノ海) | 38.4% |
| Actual win rate | 18.8% |
| Delta | -19.7pt |
Positive = 美ノ海 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 美ノ海 | 熱海富士 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1791 (2026-09) | 1881 (2026-07) |
| Career bouts | 771 | 476 |
| Wins | 392 | 274 |
| Losses | 374 | 196 |
| Win rate | 51.3% | 58.3% |
| Current rank | Komusubi | Sekiwake |
| Active period | 2016-03 〜 2026-09 | 2021-01 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (16)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 美ノ海 | vs | 熱海富士 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-03 | 7 | 34% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2022-05 | 7 | 35% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2022-11 | 3 | 47% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2023-03 | 8 | 45% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-05 | 2 | 49% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2023-11 | 11 | 30% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-11 | 1 | 41% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-01 | 15 | 35% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-07 | 15 | 41% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-11 | 2 | 43% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-01 | 4 | 45% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-03 | 10 | 36% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-05 | 11 | 29% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 10 | 35% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-09 | 2 | 30% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-11 | 4 | 41% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.