HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
42.4%
美ノ海 (R=1791)
vs
57.6%
藤ノ川 (R=1845)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (5 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (美ノ海) | 46.5% |
| Actual win rate | 80.0% |
| Delta | 33.5pt |
Positive = 美ノ海 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 美ノ海 | 藤ノ川 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1791 (2026-09) | 1845 (2026-09) |
| Career bouts | 764 | 250 |
| Wins | 391 | 151 |
| Losses | 368 | 92 |
| Win rate | 51.6% | 62.3% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #3 | Sekiwake |
| Active period | 2016-03 〜 2026-09 | 2023-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (5)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 美ノ海 | vs | 藤ノ川 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09 | 2 | 46% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-01 | 7 | 51% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-03 | 12 | 49% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-07 | 13 | 43% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-09 | 13 | 43% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.