HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
46.4%
美ノ海 (R=1791)
vs
53.6%
義ノ富士 (R=1816)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (6 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (美ノ海) | 37.2% |
| Actual win rate | 50.0% |
| Delta | 12.8pt |
Positive = 美ノ海 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 美ノ海 | 義ノ富士 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1791 (2026-09) | 1832 (2026-05) |
| Career bouts | 764 | 185 |
| Wins | 391 | 118 |
| Losses | 368 | 65 |
| Win rate | 51.6% | 64.9% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #3 | Maegashira #2 |
| Active period | 2016-03 〜 2026-09 | 2024-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (6)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 美ノ海 | vs | 義ノ富士 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07 | 2 | 38% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-09 | 12 | 35% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-11 | 6 | 39% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-03 | 11 | 38% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-07 | 11 | 33% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-09 | 3 | 41% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.