HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
55.6%
美ノ海 (R=1791)
vs
44.4%
藤凌駕 (R=1751)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (美ノ海) | 53.1% |
| Actual win rate | 50.0% |
| Delta | -3.1pt |
Positive = 美ノ海 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 美ノ海 | 藤凌駕 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1791 (2026-09) | 1751 (2026-09) |
| Career bouts | 771 | 125 |
| Wins | 392 | 81 |
| Losses | 374 | 43 |
| Win rate | 51.3% | 65.6% |
| Current rank | Komusubi | Maegashira #1 |
| Active period | 2016-03 〜 2026-09 | 2025-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 美ノ海 | vs | 藤凌駕 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 13 | 55% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-09 | 6 | 51% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.



