HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
50.8%
徳之武藏 (R=1336)
vs
49.2%
旭水野 (R=1330)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (徳之武藏) | 67.2% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 32.8pt |
Positive = 徳之武藏 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 徳之武藏 | 旭水野 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1441 (2024-03) | 1348 (2026-07) |
| Career bouts | 406 | 175 |
| Wins | 208 | 96 |
| Losses | 173 | 76 |
| Win rate | 54.4% | 55.5% |
| Current rank | Makushita #18 | Makushita #12 |
| Active period | 2016-05 〜 2026-09 | 2022-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 徳之武藏 | vs | 旭水野 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 11 | 67% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.