HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
37.8%
魁佑馬 (R=926)
vs
62.2%
千代大和 (R=1015)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (3 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (魁佑馬) | 43.9% |
| Actual win rate | 0.0% |
| Delta | -43.9pt |
Positive = 魁佑馬 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 魁佑馬 | 千代大和 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1172 (2016-05) | 1098 (2025-07) |
| Career bouts | 418 | 245 |
| Wins | 208 | 119 |
| Losses | 208 | 119 |
| Win rate | 50.1% | 50.0% |
| Current rank | Jonidan #48 | Sandanme #70 |
| Active period | 2016-05 〜 2026-09 | 2020-09 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (3)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 魁佑馬 | vs | 千代大和 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-09 | 8 | 52% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-01 | 6 | 39% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-03 | 9 | 41% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.