HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
47.9%
對馬洋 (R=1414)
vs
52.1%
漣 (R=1429)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (對馬洋) | 67.2% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 32.8pt |
Positive = 對馬洋 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 對馬洋 | 漣 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1541 (2023-01) | 1430 (2026-05) |
| Career bouts | 475 | 464 |
| Wins | 245 | 243 |
| Losses | 205 | 220 |
| Win rate | 54.4% | 52.4% |
| Current rank | Makushita #11 | Makushita #13 |
| Active period | 2016-07 〜 2026-09 | 2015-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 對馬洋 | vs | 漣 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-05 | 4 | 81% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-11 | 3 | 53% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.