HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
46.6%
對馬洋 (R=1215)
vs
53.4%
上戸 (R=1239)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (4 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (對馬洋) | 62.2% |
| Actual win rate | 50.0% |
| Delta | -12.2pt |
Positive = 對馬洋 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 對馬洋 | 上戸 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1374 (2016-09) | 1264 (2025-07) |
| Career bouts | 475 | 382 |
| Wins | 245 | 204 |
| Losses | 205 | 169 |
| Win rate | 54.4% | 54.6% |
| Current rank | Makushita #13 | Makushita #12 |
| Active period | 2016-07 〜 2026-05 | 2017-03 〜 2026-05 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (4)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 對馬洋 | vs | 上戸 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-07 | 1 | 69% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2022-07 | 6 | 63% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2022-09 | 6 | 64% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-09 | 1 | 53% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.