HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
42.3%
對馬洋 (R=1414)
vs
57.7%
大喜翔 (R=1469)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (對馬洋) | 42.4% |
| Actual win rate | 50.0% |
| Delta | 7.6pt |
Positive = 對馬洋 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 對馬洋 | 大喜翔 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1541 (2023-01) | 1475 (2026-07) |
| Career bouts | 492 | 319 |
| Wins | 254 | 168 |
| Losses | 213 | 119 |
| Win rate | 54.4% | 58.5% |
| Current rank | Makushita #6 | Makushita #6 |
| Active period | 2016-07 〜 2026-09 | 2019-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 對馬洋 | vs | 大喜翔 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01 | 3 | 42% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-11 | 1 | 42% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.