HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
55.3%
翠富士 (R=1393)
vs
44.7%
明生 (R=1356)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (12 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (翠富士) | 46.3% |
| Actual win rate | 41.7% |
| Delta | -4.6pt |
Positive = 翠富士 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 翠富士 | 明生 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1411 (2023-11) | 1445 (2021-11) |
| Career bouts | 710 | 1,077 |
| Wins | 364 | 532 |
| Losses | 313 | 520 |
| Win rate | 53.9% | 50.8% |
| Current rank | Juryo #8 | Juryo #7 |
| Active period | 2016-09 〜 2026-07 | 2011-05 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (12)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 翠富士 | vs | 明生 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-05 | 8 | 40% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2022-07 | 2 | 42% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2022-09 | 13 | 44% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2023-01 | 11 | 44% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2023-03 | 3 | 45% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-07 | 7 | 48% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-05 | 6 | 48% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-09 | 8 | 47% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-01 | 1 | 48% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-03 | 5 | 49% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-05 | 1 | 49% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-07 | 2 | 53% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.