HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
58.1%
翠富士 (R=1558)
vs
41.9%
御嶽海 (R=1501)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (13 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (翠富士) | 51.9% |
| Actual win rate | 38.5% |
| Delta | -13.4pt |
Positive = 翠富士 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 翠富士 | 御嶽海 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1731 (2023-03) | 1906 (2022-03) |
| Career bouts | 728 | 1,019 |
| Wins | 372 | 533 |
| Losses | 324 | 464 |
| Win rate | 53.6% | 53.6% |
| Current rank | Juryo #7 | Juryo #4 |
| Active period | 2016-09 〜 2026-09 | 2015-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (13)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 翠富士 | vs | 御嶽海 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-09 | 1 | 31% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2022-11 | 10 | 45% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-07 | 5 | 55% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-09 | 5 | 56% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2023-11 | 9 | 55% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-05 | 2 | 56% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-11 | 4 | 47% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-01 | 9 | 47% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-03 | 15 | 59% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-07 | 9 | 59% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-11 | 13 | 55% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-01 | 15 | 54% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-09 | 14 | 56% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.