HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
27.7%
一山本 (R=1621)
vs
72.3%
美ノ海 (R=1791)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (16 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (一山本) | 51.4% |
| Actual win rate | 62.5% |
| Delta | 11.1pt |
Positive = 一山本 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 一山本 | 美ノ海 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1710 (2025-11) | 1791 (2026-09) |
| Career bouts | 698 | 764 |
| Wins | 356 | 391 |
| Losses | 310 | 368 |
| Win rate | 53.3% | 51.6% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #12 | Komusubi |
| Active period | 2017-01 〜 2026-09 | 2016-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (16)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 一山本 | vs | 美ノ海 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-03 | 7 | 50% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2018-05 | 11 | 53% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2018-09 | 5 | 55% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2019-03 | 9 | 49% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2021-05 | 6 | 61% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-07 | 10 | 52% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-09 | 5 | 45% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-11 | 2 | 54% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-01 | 10 | 57% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-03 | 11 | 52% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-07 | 6 | 52% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-09 | 6 | 45% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-01 | 8 | 47% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-05 | 8 | 54% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-11 | 4 | 49% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-07 | 7 | 50% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.