HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
51.4%
一山本 (R=1421)
vs
48.6%
美ノ海 (R=1411)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (16 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (一山本) | 54.1% |
| Actual win rate | 62.5% |
| Delta | 8.4pt |
Positive = 一山本 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 一山本 | 美ノ海 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1559 (2017-03) | 1577 (2016-09) |
| Career bouts | 680 | 746 |
| Wins | 351 | 378 |
| Losses | 296 | 362 |
| Win rate | 54.1% | 51.2% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #4 | Maegashira #2 |
| Active period | 2017-01 〜 2026-07 | 2016-03 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (16)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 一山本 | vs | 美ノ海 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-03 | 7 | 55% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2018-05 | 11 | 56% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2018-09 | 5 | 55% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2019-03 | 9 | 49% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2021-05 | 6 | 57% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-07 | 10 | 57% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-09 | 5 | 55% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-11 | 2 | 56% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-01 | 10 | 57% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-03 | 11 | 55% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-07 | 6 | 54% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-09 | 6 | 52% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-01 | 8 | 52% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-05 | 8 | 53% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-11 | 4 | 51% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-07 | 7 | 51% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.