HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
48.8%
若輝元 (R=1151)
vs
51.2%
栃登 (R=1160)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (若輝元) | 48.8% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 51.2pt |
Positive = 若輝元 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 若輝元 | 栃登 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1151 (2026-09) | 1373 (2009-03) |
| Career bouts | 407 | 726 |
| Wins | 194 | 364 |
| Losses | 183 | 353 |
| Win rate | 51.3% | 50.9% |
| Current rank | Sandanme #22 | Sandanme #22 |
| Active period | 2017-01 〜 2026-09 | 2009-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 若輝元 | vs | 栃登 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11 | 1 | 49% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.

