HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
51.1%
若輝元 (R=1151)
vs
48.9%
鳰の湖 (R=1144)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (若輝元) | 43.1% |
| Actual win rate | 50.0% |
| Delta | 6.9pt |
Positive = 若輝元 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 若輝元 | 鳰の湖 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1151 (2026-09) | 1484 (2011-11) |
| Career bouts | 407 | 1,116 |
| Wins | 194 | 560 |
| Losses | 183 | 546 |
| Win rate | 51.3% | 50.8% |
| Current rank | Sandanme #22 | Sandanme #23 |
| Active period | 2017-01 〜 2026-09 | 2002-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 若輝元 | vs | 鳰の湖 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-07 | 9 | 35% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-11 | 5 | 51% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.