HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
46.4%
若輝元 (R=1151)
vs
53.6%
旭天道 (R=1177)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (若輝元) | 46.4% |
| Actual win rate | 0.0% |
| Delta | -46.4pt |
Positive = 若輝元 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 若輝元 | 旭天道 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1151 (2026-09) | 1177 (2026-09) |
| Career bouts | 407 | 115 |
| Wins | 194 | 65 |
| Losses | 183 | 43 |
| Win rate | 51.3% | 60.2% |
| Current rank | Sandanme #22 | Sandanme #23 |
| Active period | 2017-01 〜 2026-09 | 2024-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 若輝元 | vs | 旭天道 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11 | 3 | 46% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.