HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
36.5%
栃幸大 (R=1443)
vs
63.5%
嘉陽 (R=1541)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (栃幸大) | 45.9% |
| Actual win rate | 0.0% |
| Delta | -45.9pt |
Positive = 栃幸大 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 栃幸大 | 嘉陽 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1448 (2026-07) | 1575 (2025-05) |
| Career bouts | 381 | 301 |
| Wins | 201 | 164 |
| Losses | 176 | 136 |
| Win rate | 53.3% | 54.8% |
| Current rank | Makushita #3 | Juryo #12 |
| Active period | 2017-03 〜 2026-09 | 2022-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 栃幸大 | vs | 嘉陽 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09 | 5 | 46% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.