HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
46.1%
千代大宝 (R=1155)
vs
53.9%
北勝龍 (R=1182)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (4 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (千代大宝) | 42.5% |
| Actual win rate | 75.0% |
| Delta | 32.5pt |
Positive = 千代大宝 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 千代大宝 | 北勝龍 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1200 (2017-03) | 1226 (2023-07) |
| Career bouts | 399 | 441 |
| Wins | 188 | 217 |
| Losses | 174 | 193 |
| Win rate | 52.3% | 52.6% |
| Current rank | Sandanme #39 | Sandanme #37 |
| Active period | 2017-03 〜 2026-09 | 2016-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (4)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 千代大宝 | vs | 北勝龍 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-09 | 4 | 38% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2023-11 | 12 | 40% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 2 | 46% | □ | vs | ■ |
| 2026-11 | 6 | 46% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.