HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
44.9%
炎鵬 (R=1513)
vs
55.1%
輝 (R=1550)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (8 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (炎鵬) | 51.4% |
| Actual win rate | 25.0% |
| Delta | -26.4pt |
Positive = 炎鵬 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 炎鵬 | 輝 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1707 (2017-09) | 1672 (2020-03) |
| Career bouts | 650 | 1,249 |
| Wins | 308 | 613 |
| Losses | 259 | 627 |
| Win rate | 54.2% | 49.8% |
| Current rank | Juryo #9 | Juryo #11 |
| Active period | 2017-03 〜 2026-09 | 2010-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (8)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 炎鵬 | vs | 輝 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-07 | 7 | 49% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2019-09 | 6 | 53% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2020-01 | 15 | 53% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2020-07 | 10 | 50% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2020-09 | 6 | 49% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2022-09 | 8 | 47% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 6 | 55% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-09 | 10 | 55% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.