HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
50.1%
炎鵬 (R=1525)
vs
49.9%
羽出山 (R=1524)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (炎鵬) | 46.3% |
| Actual win rate | 50.0% |
| Delta | 3.7pt |
Positive = 炎鵬 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 炎鵬 | 羽出山 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1707 (2017-09) | 1620 (2025-11) |
| Career bouts | 635 | 269 |
| Wins | 301 | 147 |
| Losses | 251 | 120 |
| Win rate | 54.4% | 54.9% |
| Current rank | Juryo #9 | Juryo #8 |
| Active period | 2017-03 〜 2026-07 | 2022-03 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 炎鵬 | vs | 羽出山 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 12 | 43% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-07 | 9 | 49% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.