HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
46.8%
炎鵬 (R=1513)
vs
53.2%
丹治 (R=1536)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (炎鵬) | 52.0% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 48.0pt |
Positive = 炎鵬 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 炎鵬 | 丹治 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1707 (2017-09) | 1536 (2026-09) |
| Career bouts | 650 | 197 |
| Wins | 308 | 117 |
| Losses | 259 | 72 |
| Win rate | 54.2% | 61.5% |
| Current rank | Juryo #9 | Juryo #10 |
| Active period | 2017-03 〜 2026-09 | 2022-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 炎鵬 | vs | 丹治 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09 | 8 | 52% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.



