HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
39.8%
炎鵬 (R=1513)
vs
60.2%
旭海雄 (R=1587)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (炎鵬) | 41.2% |
| Actual win rate | 0.0% |
| Delta | -41.2pt |
Positive = 炎鵬 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 炎鵬 | 旭海雄 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1707 (2017-09) | 1609 (2026-05) |
| Career bouts | 650 | 167 |
| Wins | 308 | 107 |
| Losses | 259 | 60 |
| Win rate | 54.2% | 64.1% |
| Current rank | Juryo #9 | Juryo #1 |
| Active period | 2017-03 〜 2026-09 | 2024-01 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 炎鵬 | vs | 旭海雄 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 15 | 41% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-09 | 15 | 41% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.