HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
61.2%
炎鵬 (R=1513)
vs
38.8%
佐田の海 (R=1432)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (10 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (炎鵬) | 52.4% |
| Actual win rate | 40.0% |
| Delta | -12.4pt |
Positive = 炎鵬 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 炎鵬 | 佐田の海 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1707 (2017-09) | 1692 (2015-07) |
| Career bouts | 650 | 1,628 |
| Wins | 308 | 791 |
| Losses | 259 | 829 |
| Win rate | 54.2% | 48.9% |
| Current rank | Juryo #10 | Juryo #11 |
| Active period | 2017-03 〜 2026-09 | 2003-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (10)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 炎鵬 | vs | 佐田の海 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-05 | 3 | 46% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2019-07 | 11 | 48% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2019-09 | 15 | 49% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2019-11 | 7 | 51% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2020-09 | 3 | 58% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2020-11 | 11 | 54% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2021-03 | 11 | 53% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2021-05 | 8 | 59% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2021-07 | 14 | 55% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-07 | 12 | 50% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.