HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
40.5%
上戸 (R=1375)
vs
59.5%
栃幸大 (R=1443)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (8 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (上戸) | 46.4% |
| Actual win rate | 25.0% |
| Delta | -21.4pt |
Positive = 上戸 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 上戸 | 栃幸大 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1498 (2025-07) | 1448 (2026-07) |
| Career bouts | 382 | 381 |
| Wins | 204 | 201 |
| Losses | 169 | 176 |
| Win rate | 54.6% | 53.3% |
| Current rank | Makushita #9 | Makushita #3 |
| Active period | 2017-03 〜 2026-09 | 2017-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (8)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 上戸 | vs | 栃幸大 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017-05 | 4 | 39% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2017-09 | 15 | 29% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2018-01 | 11 | 35% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2021-01 | 5 | 53% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2021-03 | 12 | 51% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2021-07 | 3 | 48% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-01 | 6 | 58% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-03 | 6 | 57% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.