HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
22.4%
矢後 (R=1225)
vs
77.6%
木竜皇 (R=1445)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (矢後) | 37.2% |
| Actual win rate | 50.0% |
| Delta | 12.8pt |
Positive = 矢後 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 矢後 | 木竜皇 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1656 (2017-07) | 1556 (2024-07) |
| Career bouts | 585 | 234 |
| Wins | 271 | 117 |
| Losses | 290 | 72 |
| Win rate | 48.6% | 62.0% |
| Current rank | Retired | Sandanme #2 |
| Active period | 2017-05 〜 2026-09 | 2021-07 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 矢後 | vs | 木竜皇 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11 | 12 | 47% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 2 | 27% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.