HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
16.9%
天惠 (R=1163)
vs
83.1%
木竜皇 (R=1445)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (天惠) | 16.9% |
| Actual win rate | 0.0% |
| Delta | -16.9pt |
Positive = 天惠 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 天惠 | 木竜皇 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1163 (2026-09) | 1556 (2024-07) |
| Career bouts | 372 | 251 |
| Wins | 183 | 125 |
| Losses | 188 | 77 |
| Win rate | 49.2% | 61.7% |
| Current rank | Sandanme #2 | Sandanme #2 |
| Active period | 2017-11 〜 2026-09 | 2021-07 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 天惠 | vs | 木竜皇 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11 | 5 | 17% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.