HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
42.0%
栃大海 (R=1299)
vs
58.0%
明生 (R=1356)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (栃大海) | 41.1% |
| Actual win rate | 0.0% |
| Delta | -41.1pt |
Positive = 栃大海 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 栃大海 | 明生 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1338 (2018-03) | 1445 (2021-11) |
| Career bouts | 455 | 1,077 |
| Wins | 238 | 532 |
| Losses | 210 | 520 |
| Win rate | 53.0% | 50.8% |
| Current rank | Juryo #14 | Juryo #7 |
| Active period | 2017-11 〜 2026-07 | 2011-05 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 栃大海 | vs | 明生 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01 | 3 | 41% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-07 | 12 | 41% | — | vs | — |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.