HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
50.0%
栃大海 (R=1455)
vs
50.0%
玉正鳳 (R=1455)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (11 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (栃大海) | 51.0% |
| Actual win rate | 63.6% |
| Delta | 12.6pt |
Positive = 栃大海 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 栃大海 | 玉正鳳 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1564 (2025-03) | 1565 (2023-07) |
| Career bouts | 473 | 802 |
| Wins | 246 | 401 |
| Losses | 221 | 397 |
| Win rate | 52.6% | 50.4% |
| Current rank | Makushita #3 | Juryo #12 |
| Active period | 2017-11 〜 2026-09 | 2011-09 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (11)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 栃大海 | vs | 玉正鳳 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-07 | 10 | 44% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-01 | 9 | 50% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-05 | 11 | 59% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-11 | 13 | 48% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-03 | 5 | 50% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-05 | 2 | 52% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-07 | 8 | 52% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-09 | 13 | 54% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-01 | 6 | 49% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-05 | 7 | 53% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-07 | 6 | 50% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.