HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
47.4%
栃大海 (R=1455)
vs
52.6%
友風 (R=1474)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (6 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (栃大海) | 46.2% |
| Actual win rate | 83.3% |
| Delta | 37.2pt |
Positive = 栃大海 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 栃大海 | 友風 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1564 (2025-03) | 1715 (2019-09) |
| Career bouts | 473 | 636 |
| Wins | 246 | 315 |
| Losses | 221 | 243 |
| Win rate | 52.6% | 56.5% |
| Current rank | Juryo #14 | Juryo #7 |
| Active period | 2017-11 〜 2026-09 | 2017-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (6)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 栃大海 | vs | 友風 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-09 | 9 | 38% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-11 | 14 | 46% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-01 | 7 | 54% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-07 | 4 | 45% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-05 | 14 | 46% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-09 | 15 | 48% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.