HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
48.6%
栃大海 (R=1455)
vs
51.4%
西ノ龍 (R=1465)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (4 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (栃大海) | 49.3% |
| Actual win rate | 25.0% |
| Delta | -24.3pt |
Positive = 栃大海 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 栃大海 | 西ノ龍 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1564 (2025-03) | 1561 (2026-01) |
| Career bouts | 473 | 363 |
| Wins | 246 | 192 |
| Losses | 221 | 169 |
| Win rate | 52.6% | 53.4% |
| Current rank | Makushita #3 | Makushita #5 |
| Active period | 2017-11 〜 2026-09 | 2019-01 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (4)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 栃大海 | vs | 西ノ龍 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-05 | 2 | 59% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-01 | 7 | 48% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-05 | 11 | 44% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 11 | 46% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.