HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
42.8%
栃大海 (R=1455)
vs
57.2%
東白龍 (R=1507)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (9 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (栃大海) | 50.9% |
| Actual win rate | 33.3% |
| Delta | -17.6pt |
Positive = 栃大海 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 栃大海 | 東白龍 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1564 (2025-03) | 1548 (2022-05) |
| Career bouts | 473 | 588 |
| Wins | 246 | 279 |
| Losses | 221 | 290 |
| Win rate | 52.6% | 49.2% |
| Current rank | Juryo #14 | Juryo #9 |
| Active period | 2017-11 〜 2026-09 | 2019-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (9)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 栃大海 | vs | 東白龍 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-07 | 1 | 40% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-05 | 13 | 52% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-07 | 12 | 55% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-03 | 9 | 59% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-07 | 3 | 50% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-09 | 5 | 50% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-05 | 8 | 50% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-07 | 5 | 52% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-09 | 8 | 49% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.