HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
42.2%
栃大海 (R=1455)
vs
57.8%
日翔志 (R=1511)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (5 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (栃大海) | 50.1% |
| Actual win rate | 80.0% |
| Delta | 29.9pt |
Positive = 栃大海 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 栃大海 | 日翔志 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1564 (2025-03) | 1564 (2025-09) |
| Career bouts | 473 | 312 |
| Wins | 246 | 163 |
| Losses | 221 | 128 |
| Win rate | 52.6% | 56.0% |
| Current rank | Juryo #14 | Juryo #11 |
| Active period | 2017-11 〜 2026-09 | 2021-07 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (5)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 栃大海 | vs | 日翔志 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-07 | 6 | 54% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-09 | 11 | 49% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-11 | 8 | 43% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-05 | 5 | 53% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-09 | 6 | 52% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.