HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
47.3%
栃大海 (R=1299)
vs
52.7%
羽出山 (R=1318)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (4 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (栃大海) | 52.3% |
| Actual win rate | 0.0% |
| Delta | -52.3pt |
Positive = 栃大海 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 栃大海 | 羽出山 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1338 (2018-03) | 1338 (2025-11) |
| Career bouts | 455 | 266 |
| Wins | 238 | 145 |
| Losses | 210 | 118 |
| Win rate | 53.0% | 54.9% |
| Current rank | Juryo #14 | Juryo #8 |
| Active period | 2017-11 〜 2026-07 | 2022-03 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (4)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 栃大海 | vs | 羽出山 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11 | 5 | 56% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-07 | 14 | 55% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-11 | 3 | 50% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-07 | 10 | 47% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.