HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
48.9%
栃大海 (R=1455)
vs
51.1%
羽出山 (R=1463)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (5 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (栃大海) | 49.9% |
| Actual win rate | 20.0% |
| Delta | -29.9pt |
Positive = 栃大海 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 栃大海 | 羽出山 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1564 (2025-03) | 1620 (2025-11) |
| Career bouts | 473 | 284 |
| Wins | 246 | 151 |
| Losses | 221 | 131 |
| Win rate | 52.6% | 53.4% |
| Current rank | Juryo #14 | Juryo #8 |
| Active period | 2017-11 〜 2026-09 | 2022-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (5)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 栃大海 | vs | 羽出山 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11 | 5 | 60% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-07 | 14 | 55% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-11 | 3 | 44% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-07 | 10 | 45% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-09 | 11 | 45% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.