HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
47.6%
栃大海 (R=1299)
vs
52.4%
嘉陽 (R=1316)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (9 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (栃大海) | 46.3% |
| Actual win rate | 55.6% |
| Delta | 9.3pt |
Positive = 栃大海 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 栃大海 | 嘉陽 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1338 (2018-03) | 1354 (2025-05) |
| Career bouts | 455 | 283 |
| Wins | 238 | 151 |
| Losses | 210 | 130 |
| Win rate | 53.0% | 53.9% |
| Current rank | Juryo #14 | Juryo #12 |
| Active period | 2017-11 〜 2026-07 | 2022-05 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (9)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 栃大海 | vs | 嘉陽 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-05 | 10 | 49% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-05 | 5 | 46% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-07 | 5 | 46% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-01 | 11 | 43% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-03 | 3 | 45% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-05 | 7 | 46% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-09 | 3 | 46% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-05 | 10 | 46% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 2 | 48% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.